This week we look at the Federal deficit, its causation and the
fundamental shift in thinking that must take place here in the U.S. to
avoid our own version of the fall of Rome. The United States currently
owes more than $16,000,000,000,000. That's sixteen trillion dollars.
That is our total debt owed. The government sells new bonds and Treasury
Notes to collect enough revenue to cover the interest payments due on
the bonds and Treasury Notes that have already been sold that are
maturing. This also makes up the funding shortfall from tax collection.
The creation of new debt to service old debt is a good idea in a falling
interest rate environment. Think of it as refinancing your house at a
lower rate. Alarmingly, we are still spending more than we make, which
adds to the total debt and our not so distant nightmare.
Global
interest rates are at unprecedented lows because other countries are
refinancing their own debts using the same methods we are. This is
exactly what is going on Europe as they try to save their economic
Union. This is the, "easy money policy," that the news and politicians
refer to. The whole point is to be the first one to fill the market
place with super cheap loans before interest rates start to turn higher.
This is printing money and currency devaluation. We are trying to repay
the expensive money we owe from debts we've previously incurred with
newly printed cheap money. It works in theory until interest rates begin
to climb. Think of it as revolving credit card debt that keeps getting
rolled over to new trial offers. Once the offers wear out, the holder is
stuck with the balance at an incredibly high interest rate.
When
this happens to John Doe, he calls a credit counselor who tries to
negotiate a settlement with the lender. The alphabet soup of regulation,
the ECB, IMF, EFSF and others are shifting the burden of Greece's debt
from the country to the European taxpayers. According to The Telegraph,
European taxpayers will own 85% of Greece's debt by 2015. This is why
the fiscally responsible Germans are reluctant to help the spendthrift
Mediterranean countries.
European taxpayers want Greece to pay
both literally and figuratively. The European credit card counseling
sessions include forcing the deepest budget cuts Greece can endure thus
allowing them to make their credit card payments. This includes cutting
medical care, pensions, education, highway and water systems, etc. This
also causes riots in the streets.
The U.S. owes $16 trillion.
Nearly $10 trillion (62.5%) of that debt has been sold to U.S.
taxpayers. Banks, insurance companies, state and local governments,
pension funds, mutual funds, savings bonds and the Federal Reserve
depository system account for 8 out of the top 10 holders of U.S. debt.
China and Japan round out the top ten at numbers 2 and 4 respectively.
The
Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has been issuing warnings for more
than a year that the debt path we are on is unsustainable, stating that
our budget deficit, our annual shortfall, will surpass $7 trillion
within the next 10 years. These deficits are compounded. We add this
year's shortfall to the previous years' shortfalls to come up with our
total deficit. Long story short, our country will continue to spend more
than we make for at least the next decade. This is the path to a
Grecian outcome.
The United States must get its financial house in
order. We cannot afford to fund Medicaid, social security,
unemployment, disability, education and defense when servicing our
current debt load leaves $.10 of every dollar available for funding.
Would you have a problem getting by if $.90 of each Dollar you earned
went towards your debts?
There are solutions. Briefly, corporate
taxes must be cut so that businesses are encouraged to remain in the
U.S, rather than incorporating offshore. Small business regulations and
employee expenses must be cut so that American entrepreneurs can get
back to generating breakthroughs in innovation. Remember, Microsoft,
Apple and Google were all small businesses once. Finally, the balance
between the, "haves" and the, "have nots," must be addressed. I believe
that those who make more spend more and should pay more. Benefit
programs must be reduced. A consumption or, Value Added Tax (VAT) that
places a greater portion of the burden on those who spend the most could
equitably offset some of the social program cuts. It would slow
domestic consumption and encourage domestic savings as well as
proportionately distributing the tax burden by making those who spend
more, pay more. We need to act, as we would have our representative
government act. Save more, spend less and get our own budgets in balance
before the global credit counselors impose their will on our earnings
and our country
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